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England vs Germany Betting Tips: Euro 2020 – 29.06.2021
Last updated: June 24, 2021 by Leon Marshal
Almost inevitably, England faces Germany in the Round-of-16 on Tuesday at Wembley. The Three Lions are unbeaten in the competition but haven’t set the world on fire with their performances so far. The same can be said for Germany. A brilliant performance against Portugal was followed up with a poor showing against Hungary; Die Mannschaft was just six minutes away from elimination.
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Whatever happens in the game, one of these two teams will be out of the Euros come Tuesday night. England has plenty of youthful exuberance, but you feel ultra-defensive tactics and team selection hinder them. The Germans don’t look like their invincible normal self and are erratic. It should be a great game that could go either way.
ENG 0 – 0 GER
UEFA Euro 2020
If you would have offered England fans two wins and a draw in their group before the tournament, chances are they would have bitten your hands off. However, even with an unbeaten start to this tournament, the reaction to England’s results have been largely lukewarm. They have ground out results, but it has been far from spectacular.
That said, there were plenty of positives to take from matchday 1 in the 1-0 win against Croatia at Wembley. Croatia was regarded as the toughest opponent England would face in the group stages; therefore, taking three points off them thanks to a Raheem Sterling goal was important. Phil Fodden showed glimpses of brilliance, and Kalvin Phillips announced his arrival on the big stage with a man-of-the-match performance. The Leeds man provided the pass for Sterling to score.
While there was plenty of positives in the performance against Croatia, the 0-0 draw against Scotland offered few, unless you are a Scotland fan, that is. It was no surprise to see a spirited Scotland performance, but England’s lack of urgency was worrying. Jon Stones hit the post early on, but the Three Lions offered very little after the half-hour mark. So prolific in the Premier League, Harry Kane cut a lonely figure and was starved of the ball and offered little in terms of goal threat.
Results elsewhere meant that England knew they were already assured of qualification from the group before they played the Czech Republic, who before the game was the group D leaders. It wouldn’t have been a surprise to see both teams play out a draw, knowing that the team who topped the group would face a tricky round-of-16 game.
England started brightly enough, Sterling scoring his second of the tournament after 12 minutes. Jack Grealish proving the England fans right by providing the assist for the Manchester City man. Supporters had been frustrated that the Aston Villa man hadn’t featured much for the Three Lions despite his immense talent.
Although the game did go flat, the 1-0 win was enough for England to top the group and set up the Germany clash.
Although uninspiring at times, there were positives to take from the game. Although Kane didn’t score, the captain finally managed to get a shot on goal, his first in the tournament. There was also the welcome sight of Harry Maguire completing 90 minutes after suffering from ankle ligament damage in May. England coped without Mason Mount and Ben Chilwell, who missed the game after coming into contact with covid-hit Billy Gilmour. Another highlight was a great performance from Arsenal’s Bukayo Saka.
Gareth Southgate has admitted his team are not yet playing “Champagne Football”, the game against Germany would be the perfect time to start.
Germany was just six short minutes away from being knocked out of the competition. If it weren’t for substitute Leon Goretzka’s goal after 84 minutes, England would have played Hungary instead at Wembley on Tuesday.
There is no doubt that Germany has made life very difficult for itself, and its recent form is so un-German like. From June 2017 – November 2020, the national team played twelve games and didn’t suffer defeat in any of them. However, in the nine games since then, they won just four and suffered defeats against Spain (a 6-0 hammering), against lowly North Macedonia at home (2-1) and more recently France on matchday 1.
In the game against France, the midfield duo of Paul Pogba and N’Golo Kante controlled the midfield and France with the forward players, Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, and Karim Benzema looked dangerous all game. Germany lacked their normal ice-cold composure in the match, and they were rather fortunate the game was decided by just a solitary goal, an own goal scored by Mats Hummels.
It was a different story on matchday 2 in which they tore Portugal apart in a thrilling 4-2 win. Cristiano Ronaldo opened the scoring on the quarter of an hour mark before Germany scored four goals to control the game.
Portugal scored two own goals in five minutes (Ruben Dias and then Raphael Guerreiro), and Germany’s other two were scored by Robin Gosens and Chelsea’s Kai Havertz. Diogo Jota scored in the 67th minute to give the scoreline a degree of resectability for Portugal, but the game was done and dusted by then.
Former German player Jürgen Klinsmann believes that when you compare the English and German players one by one, there is very little to separate the sides and joked that penalties could be needed to separate the two sides. That’s a thought that is likely to send shivers down the spine of England fans.
Older Three Lions supporters will remember Euro 1996 when England and Germany met at Wembley with a place in the final at stake. It took England just three minutes to take the lead, thanks to an Alan Shearer goal. However, the lead only lasted thirteen minutes, Stefan Kuntz levelling things up for the Germans. The teams couldn’t be separated in either normal or extra time, and the game went to penalties.
Hassler, Strunz, Reuter, Ziege, Kuntz all scored for Germany and Shearer, Platt, Gascoigne and Sherringham all scored for England, taking the penalty shootout into sudden death. Attacking midfielder Andreas Möller converted his spot-kick, heaping the pressure on defender Gareth Southgate. But, of course, we all know what happened next! Germany went on to win Euro 96, coming from behind to beat the Czech Republic 2-1. Oliver Bierhoff equalised for Germany and then scored the winner in extra time, thanks to the now-defunct “golden goal” rule.
Mason Mount should be available to be picked despite training away from the squad after contact with Covid hit Billy Gilmour.
Ben Chilwell will also be available, his self-isolation period ends Monday. Although England have other options at left-back.
Leon Goretzka is Germany’s new hero, his goal with six minutes left kept his team in the tournament.
Joachim Low warned England that the Germany team they will face on Tuesday will be much improved.
Pickford, James, Stones, Maguire, Shaw, Phillips, Rice, Mount, Foden, Kane, Sterling
Johnstone, Mings, Henderson, Rashford, Trippier, Walker, Bellingham, Calvert-Lewin, Coady, Ramsdale, Saka, Sancho, White.
Neuer, Ginter, Hummels, Rüdiger, Kimmich, Gündogan, Kroos, Gosens, Havertz, Sané, Gnabry.
Leno, Gosens, Can, Goretzka, Gunter, Hofmann, Muller, Rudiger, Sule, Trapp, Volland, Werner, Halstenberg, Klostermann, Koch, Musiala, Neuhaus.
Conclusion & Betting Tips
There is a suspicion that Gareth Southgate isn’t sure who his best team is. Exciting talent such as Jadon Sancho is a bit-part player, with the defensive-minded coach tending to trust his old guard. The formation doesn’t get the best out of Harry Kane, who is yet to score, so will Southgate radically change things to get him involved more?
It’s hard to judge Germany as we have seen the best of them and the worst of them in the three games. They could have lost by a larger margin against France but was brilliant against Portugal. They rode their luck against Hungary and were rather fortunate to progress. Will they make the same mistakes again?
There are many similarities between the sides, with so much potential and game-changers in both teams. Germany has Kai Havertz, England has Mason Mount, and the pattern is repeated throughout the two teams. A score-draw seems the most likely outcome; therefore, we are going for a 1-1 draw.
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